Will scientists drill into the mantle by 2031?
Plus
28
Ṁ7932031
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if any drilling expedition successfully drills into the mantle AND returns a sample by Jan. 1, 2031
For context, in the 1960s the US government attempted to drill into the mantle, but the project was abandoned (See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Mohole)
There have been some recent efforts to drill into the mantle (background), but no success yet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 YES from 22% to 31%
Related questions
Related questions
Will we be able to predict earthquakes by 2035?
28% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?
32% chance
Will any drilling project on Earth surpass the depth record of the Kola Superdeep Borehole (~12.3 km) before 2035?
20% chance
Will we discover a new planet capable of supporting human life by 2035?
29% chance
Will any country start mining in Antarctica by 2050?
74% chance
Will any human reach 11 km below the Earth's surface before 2030?
10% chance
Will NASA mine on an asteroid by 2030?
16% chance
Will oil be drilled for in the field of the Antarctic Weddell Sea region before 2030?
50% chance
Will it be scientific consensus that there is currently microscopic life on Mars by 2034?
17% chance
Will there be a significant breakthrough in nuclear fusion technology by the end of 2030?
75% chance