Will scientists drill into the mantle by 2031?
Basic
25
563
2031
31%
chance

Resolves to YES if any drilling expedition successfully drills into the mantle AND returns a sample by Jan. 1, 2031

For context, in the 1960s the US government attempted to drill into the mantle, but the project was abandoned (See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Mohole)

There have been some recent efforts to drill into the mantle (background), but no success yet.

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