Will scientists drill into the mantle by 2031?
28
1kṀ7932031
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if any drilling expedition successfully drills into the mantle AND returns a sample by Jan. 1, 2031
For context, in the 1960s the US government attempted to drill into the mantle, but the project was abandoned (See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Mohole)
There have been some recent efforts to drill into the mantle (background), but no success yet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will any drilling project on Earth surpass the depth record of the Kola Superdeep Borehole (~12.3 km) before 2035?
20% chance
Will any human reach 11 km below the Earth's surface before 2030?
10% chance
Will we be able to predict earthquakes by 2035?
28% chance
Will oil be drilled for in the field of the Antarctic Weddell Sea region before 2030?
50% chance
Will NASA mine on an asteroid by 2030?
16% chance
Will we mine an asteroid by 2034?
28% chance
Will we discover a new planet capable of supporting human life by 2035?
31% chance
Discovery of matter outside our 3D space before 2031?
20% chance
Will any country start mining in Antarctica by 2050?
74% chance
Will Earth have a new impact crater of at least 100 m caused by a meteor by 2033?
5% chance