Will Vertigo place at the #1 spot on Sight and Sound's 2022 "Greatest Films of All Time" poll?
resolved Dec 1

Sight and Sound's decennial film poll is releasing in just a few days. Will Alfred Hitchcock's Vertigo retain the #1 spot it earned from Citizen Kane in 2012? This market will resolve based on the results of the critic's poll not director's poll.

Link to 2012 version of the list: https://www.bfi.org.uk/sight-and-sound/greatest-films-all-time

Close date updated to 2022-12-01 11:55 am

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predicted NO

Voting NO in this market because I thought 2001 would top the list is like doing the math problem wrong and still getting the right answer.

Probably more than 50% chance it's been replaced, but rumours are just that, and Vertigo was quite far ahead last time, so I think this is probably a little low.

predicted YES

@DavidMathers The closest non-Kane film to Vertigo, if, as alleged neither was first, got barely over half the votes: 107 for Tokyo Story versus 191 for Vertigo. 2001: A Space Odyssey which many people seem to expect got 90, so slightly under half Vertigo's story. And I'm not sure picking a Kubrick film with 0 people in it other than white men fits the other (vague) prediction everyone has made of a big me-too effect on the poll.

predicted NO

I think you make some compelling points and 80:20 is probably too confident on a flip, but I think that more diverse selections and Kubrick’s standing improving are one in the same phenomenon: the voting block becoming younger. Even if the casting is rather dated in 2001, it’s actual themes have only become more relevant with time (although this could be said with many films) and I expect to see that reflected.

predicted YES

@HIPSTERPOTAMUS What are its themes in your view? I actually think that is a tricky question to answer with 2001. Good point about younger voters though. (I hope that doesn't disadvantage Ozu, and does disadvantage technically brilliant but not very watchable silents like Sunrise or Man with a Movie Camera.)

predicted NO

@DavidMathers I think there’s a lot of major themes of technology transplanting humanity and human interaction. I think even beyond HAL, so many of the interactions are so barren and formal between the actors (think of Poole’s non existent reaction to his parent’s video telegram on his birthday) and the movie seems to be suggesting it’s a result of both the technology and space travel (a technological development viewed with much optimism). It’s rather telling that the most bashful/emotional decision of the movie is made by HAL when his pride is bruised after he detects a non-existent fault. (Agree with your opinion on the silent films, but I suspect it’ll probably be a fall across the board. The technical montage films will probably suffer more though)

predicted YES

@HIPSTERPOTAMUS That seems a reasonable shout at identifying a major theme.

I think a counteractive to 'silents will fall, especially montage' is that as people become more suspicious of canons for social justice-y reasons (I'm trying to describe that in as neutral, neither-praise-nor-criticism terms as I can) things that are objectively technically/formally accomplished and foundational can do better, because it's harder to suspect their fame of being the result of nefarious white Anglo male bias.

predicted NO

@DavidMathers I think the existentialist nature of the film also probably ages better for a block of younger voters who are inevitably more secular.

That’s actually a really insightful point. It makes sense that technically accomplished films probably suffer a lot less to more critical views of canon. I still feel like the very nature of the medium’s evolution disadvantages silent films over time though. You never see Beethoven on “Greatest Albums of All Time” lists (even though many impressive LP recordings exist) just due to the fact that the way music is created and consumed changed to such a degree that the very real influence of these artists is no longer tangible anymore.

predicted YES

@HIPSTERPOTAMUS That's because those lists are implicitly lists of music that has a definitive recorded form, and also mostly are list of rock music, with the odd jazz album a rock critic likes. Beethoven would still be a dominating figure over modern composers in a poll about classical music. There isn't really an "all music" poll that is the equivalent to S&S for film, where avant-garde Soviet propaganda gets compared to current mainstream Hollywood, and Indian art films of the 1950s and modern Iranian cinema and anime.

predicted NO

@DavidMathers Yeah that’s kind of my point though. Inevitably the term “film” has stopped embodying Soviet montage propaganda and more feature length dramas because people’s engagement with the medium has changed. You’re probably right though that the LP lists were a bad example as those critics are usually familiar exclusively with pop.

predicted NO

@HIPSTERPOTAMUS Rumor posted to Sight and Sound claiming neither Vertigo or Citizen Kane top the list. Looking like it’ll be 2001

@HIPSTERPOTAMUS Sorry not sight and sound, rumor posted to World of Reel

There are lots of supposed leaks floating around right now. None I have seen contain explicit information about the number 1 spot, but I have seen whispers of lots of surprising changes in the top 10, which seems to confirm that upheaval seems likely. Personally I predict 2001 to take the top spot

any link?

predicted NO

@kolotom99 To the previous iteration of the list? Here you go: https://www.bfi.org.uk/sight-and-sound/greatest-films-all-time

Will Vertigo place at the #1 spot on Sight and Sound's 2022 "Greatest Film's of All Time" poll?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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