Will Donald Trump lead Joe Biden by at least this much in the 538 polling average at any point in July 2024?
9
100Ṁ868resolved Aug 1
Resolved
YES2 points
Resolved
YES3 points
Resolved
NO4 points
Resolved
NO5 points
Resolved
NO6 points
Resolved
NO7 points
Resolved
NO8 points
Resolved
NO9 points
Resolved
NO10 points
If Donald Trump’s polling lead over Joe Biden reaches each listed amount at any point in July 2024, the corresponding amount will resolve to YES.
Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.
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And all the rest resolve NO, as Trump never led in the 538 average by more than 3.2 percentage points in July.