Will Donald Trump lead Joe Biden by at least this much in the 538 polling average at any point in July 2024?

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Ṁ868

resolved Aug 1

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Resolved

YES

2 points

Resolved

YES

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Resolved

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Resolved

5 points

Resolved

6 points

Resolved

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Resolved

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Resolved

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Resolved

10 points

If Donald Trump’s polling lead over Joe Biden reaches each listed amount at any point in July 2024, the corresponding amount will resolve to YES.

Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.

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And all the rest resolve NO, as Trump never led in the 538 average by more than 3.2 percentage points in July.

3 points

bought Ṁ40 3 points YES

@GuyCohen also resolves yes, currently Trump is ahead by 3.1 %

2 points

bought Ṁ86 2 points YES

@GuyCohen Resolves YES - currently Trump is ahead by 2.3%.

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