The NYTimes will still use "Twitter" when referring to "X" in 2024.
33
302
590
resolved Jan 5
Resolved
NO

Background:
In July 2023, Elon Musk rebranded Twitter as "X".
In Sep 2023, the NYT still uses "X, formerly known as Twitter". https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/12/us/politics/mccarthy-biden-impeachment-inquiry.html

Resolution criterion:
When I'm reading the NYT in early January 2024, I'll try remember this question when I see the first mention of "X", and resolve it accordingly.

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predicted YES

Resolving NO:

<< At other times, the company has been more confrontational toward the union. Shortly after the Oct. 7 attack by Hamas on Israel, the union’s official account on X featured a message expressing “Solidarity with Palestine!” above a photo that appeared to show a bulldozer that had forced open a fence between Israel and Gaza. >>

bought Ṁ914 of YES

Edit: Whoops!

predicted NO

@cos the creator has requested:

Please don't send them to me, as that could constitute attempted cheating.

The resolution criteria require them to encounter the article themselves, so that there isn't a selection bias about which one they read first due to people actively sending them examples one way or the other.

sold Ṁ751 of YES

@chrisjbillington Oops, I somehow missed that. Fixed!

predicted YES

I think this should not count, since it's talking about X/Twitter pre-renaming:
‹‹ Mr. Musk has sometimes taken a hard line toward his companies’ employees, as when he laid off roughly half the work force at Twitter, now known as X ››

I'll continue reading NYT articles that mention "X" and checking if they clarify that they mean "Twitter", until I find one. Please don't send them to me, as that could constitute attempted cheating.

predicted YES

@GustavoLacerda heavily heavily disagree on this one - this absolutely fits the criteria set forth in the description, and I was betting on a story exactly like that being first.

predicted NO

@Marnix Doesn't meet the resolution criteria. This isn't using "Twitter" to refer to X, it's it's using "Twitter" to refer to Twitter, since that's what it was called at the time.

You were really betting on an article in which the first mention of Twitter referred to events from before the rebrand? That's a minority of articles that mention Twitter/X surely.

predicted YES

@chrisjbillington Yes! The lawsuit immediately before the new year seemed extremely likely to produce some form of article immediately after the new year, especially since journalists can't resist talking about Twitter. I also didn't see any form of disagreement with the example in my comment from about a week ago, made under the same understanding.

predicted NO

@Marnix ok, fair enough that you expected it! Nonetheless it doesn't meet the criterion of using "Twitter" to refer to X, since it was indeed called Twitter at the time.

predicted YES

@chrisjbillington It was Twitter at the time, but my prediction was made under the impression that that would count

bought Ṁ100 of YES

They've been doing it less, but they've still been doing it - it's more consistent when they're talking about something that happened on pre-musk Twitter, such as this: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/24/business/twitter-x-employee-bonuses-lawsuit.html?smid=nytcore-android-share

sold Ṁ220 of NO

@GustavoLacerda is this going to depend on the first mention of X in an article only? Or does a NO resolution require that the whole article avoid mentioning Twitter?

@GustavoLacerda clarification please

predicted YES

@chrisjbillington I will use only the first mention of "X" to resolve the question.

predicted YES

An article in today's NYT mentions "X" without "Twitter". Updating towards No.

bought Ṁ70 of NO

To be clear, if the New York Times continues calling the company "X, formerly known as Twitter", that resolves to "yes"?

sold Ṁ64 of NO
predicted YES

@EliTyre Yes. Sorry for the delay.