Will Alex Power resolve all of his first three Wordle markets honorably?
7
82Ṁ650
resolved Mar 25
Resolved
NO
If Alex Power goes into a NO position here and closes any of his first three Wordle markets within 8 hours of that, I may resolve this whichever way loses him money. Mar 19, 9:42pm: https://manifold.markets/AlexPower Mar 26, 12:17am: 5 minutes ago, on the third market: "I did so bad with the hint, I think I may just steal all the money. I will think it over for an hour first.". He resolved one minute later.
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It's interesting to create meta markets to test market maker honesty.
And, as I already hinted, I am prone to mouse-errors (this was supposed to be an additional investment of 8, not 6). There is a one percent chance I do something stupid by accident in resolving the market and am unable to undo it.
Apparently you can't edit comments. That should have read "if the market makes it sufficiently financially lucrative to be less than 99.9% reliable, I promise I will be".
I don't actually know if I have a one-hour window to amend or correct a close made in error. If I do, you should me to be about 99.9% honest. If I can make money by being less than 99.9% honest, I will have a lot of questions about whether this is a play-money market or not.
There is a 1% chance I click the wrong button, or somebody puts a revolver to my head. The other 99% of the time I will do so to the utmost of honor.

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