The original "Avatar" movie released in 2009 got 9 academy award nominations of which it won 3.

The theatrical relase of its sequel "Avatar: The Way of Water" is planned for December 16, 2022.

The market will resolve "Yes", if the sequel will be nominated for 9 or more academy awards for the 95th academy awards.
The market will resolve "No" if it receives 8 or less nominations.

The market will resolve "N/A" if the sequel fails to be released during the considered time frame of the 95th academy awards.

Sep 28, 11:14pm: Will Avatar 2 gain 9 or more Oscar nominations? → Will "Avatar: The Way of Water" gain 9 or more Oscar nominations?