Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2029, the character Monkey D. Luffy discovers the treasure known as the "One Piece" in the manga series "One Piece" by Eiichiro Oda. The resolution will be based on official publications of the manga, as available through sources such as Viz Media's Shonen Jump or Manga Plus. If Luffy has not found the One Piece by that date, the market will resolve to "No".

Background

"One Piece" is a long-running Japanese manga series that began serialization in 1997. The story follows Monkey D. Luffy and his crew, the Straw Hat Pirates, on their quest to find the legendary treasure known as the "One Piece" and become the King of the Pirates. As of May 2025, the series is in its final saga, with the Elbaf arc currently underway. Creator Eiichiro Oda has previously indicated plans to conclude the series within the next few years, suggesting a possible end around 2025 to 2026. However, given the complexity and depth of the story, some projections estimate the series may continue until approximately 2030. (oneesports.gg, appuals.com)

Considerations

While Oda has expressed intentions to conclude the series within a specific timeframe, the actual end date may vary due to the intricate plot and character developments. Additionally, unforeseen circumstances, such as health issues or external factors, could influence the publication schedule. Traders should monitor official announcements and publications for the most accurate information regarding the series' progression and conclusion.