Will Joe Biden lose the 2024 presidential election because of a decrease in support from Muslim Americans?
7
190Ṁ80
resolved Jan 20
Resolved
NO

"The Arab American Institute, an advocacy group, says that since the start of the conflict, support by Arab Americans for the Democratic Party has plummeted from 59% in 2020 to just 17%." - Biden losing Arab-American voters in swing state

Will resolve YES if Biden loses the 2024 presidential election (electoral college) AND would have won if he received the same level of support from Muslim American voters as in the 2020 presidential election. I will review exit polls and news articles to resolve this question. I will not bet in this market. This question will resolve N/A if Biden loses AND I am unable to definitively determine if a decrease in Muslim American votes was enough of a factor. This question will resolve N/A if Biden is no longer the Democrat candidate for president.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ14
2Ṁ11
3Ṁ4
4Ṁ4
5Ṁ1
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy