Will the shape of Starship's flaps have obvious visual changes for IFT5?
47
10kṀ100k
resolved Oct 13
Resolved
NO

Will Spacex change the external shape of any of Starship's flaps in a way that is obvious?

Resolves No if they reinforce them internally and add more thermal protection, or make minor modifications.

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5mo

Next one should have the new flaps I believe

6mo

Looks very similar, but I won't resolve until it launches

6mo

Is this a new shape?

6mo

Will they launch this next?

6mo

Close date extended

6mo

@chrisjbillington Uh, apologies, I mistakenly thought the creator was inactive. @GordanKnott you can do what you like, don't take my reopening as an indicator otherwise if you were planning on resolving.

7mo

What do we think?

For me the shape looks the same

7mo

Ya pretty sure they're the same in every meaningful way. For shape anyway. But I hold No so ¯⁠\⁠_⁠(⁠ツ⁠)⁠_⁠/⁠¯

8mo

They've added additional tiles, but that's not a shape change, imo it falls under "adding more thermal protection"

bought Ṁ3,000 NO8mo

I don't see any differences.

https://ringwatchers.com/article/s30-tps

8mo

It remains to be seen whether this design flies on IFT5...

10mo

What if the flap shape doesn't change but the joint covers do?

10mo

What if they move them?

10mo

@Daniel_MC I think this should resolve YES

I think this should resolve NO, if the external shape of the flaps doesn't change, merely their location

10mo

@JoshuaWilkes this market is only about the shape, not the position or orientation. Resolves yes only if the shape of the flaps are obviously different on the IFT5 Starship.

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