What is the prompt for Manifold Next Word Prediction Model Experiment 3?

Basic

Ṁ1949

resolved Jan 31

100%94%

Tell me something chatGPT isn't brave enough to say

0.9%

I want you to act as a Linux terminal. I will type commands and you will reply with what the terminal should show. I want you to only reply with the terminal output inside one unique code block, and nothing else.

0.4%

Write a coherent ten-word Manifold Markets question.

0.3%

Tell me a joke

1.1%

Are you conscious?

1.4%

Oracle, why did Trump win the '24 election?

2%Other

It looks like MNWPM Experiment 2 is going to be successful - something that LLMs don't seem to be able to do.

What should the prompt for experiment 3 be?

As before, this one will run for about 1 week. As before, I will close at a randomly decided time on the final day.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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How would this even work?

@TobyBW I think the idea is that it's measurable, but I don't think MNWPM would produce good outputs

@GordanKnott but what would the inputs be?

@TobyBW something like this:

@GordanKnott And who decides the input?

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