Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if Bitcoin's price on December 31, 2025 (at 11:59 PM UTC) is higher than its price on December 29, 2025 (at 12:00 AM UTC). Resolution will be determined using the closing price from CoinMarketCap or CoinGecko (whichever is more widely accessible at resolution time). The market resolves NO if the price is lower or unchanged.

Background

Bitcoin price rose to USD 89,000 on December 29, 2025, with bitcoin remaining range-bound between roughly $86,500 and $90,000. The world's top cryptocurrency is now down 4% in 2025, and is limping into 2026 with little or no momentum. Bitcoin's all time high is $126,210.50, which was reached on October 6, 2025.

Considerations

Bitcoin seems to be forming a complex sideways pattern, which usually means the market is undecided, with buyers and sellers waiting for stronger signals. Year-end trading typically features lower volume and liquidity, which can amplify price swings on smaller moves.