Will Trump lose the Republican primary?

N/A if never announces

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belikewater avatar
belikewaterbought Ṁ100 of YES

@Gigacasting Request for clarification: If Trump were to withdraw from the race, would this question resolve as Yes?

belikewater avatar
belikewaterbought Ṁ10 of YES

I'm going to assume this resolves as "No" if he isn't on the ballot in the primary and doesn't win as a write-in, either.

TjadenHess avatar
Tjaden Hessbought Ṁ20 of YES

How does this resolve if he doesn't run?

Gigacasting avatar

N/A if Trump does not run; or announces day one he’s not running as a Republican.

Anything else has clean YES/NO, even if he later changes parties or concedes etc.

TjadenHess avatar
Tjaden Hesspredicts YES

@Gigacasting So is to fair to say that, given Trump announces candidacy for the Rep. primary, this market resolves No if Trump wins the primary and Yes otherwise?