Will Trump lose the Republican primary?
Sep 1

N/A if never announces

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@Gigacasting Request for clarification: If Trump were to withdraw from the race, would this question resolve as Yes?

I'm going to assume this resolves as "No" if he isn't on the ballot in the primary and doesn't win as a write-in, either.

How does this resolve if he doesn't run?

N/A if Trump does not run; or announces day one he’s not running as a Republican.

Anything else has clean YES/NO, even if he later changes parties or concedes etc.

predicts YES

@Gigacasting So is to fair to say that, given Trump announces candidacy for the Rep. primary, this market resolves No if Trump wins the primary and Yes otherwise?