Will SBF be on the lam for most of 2023?
34
35
650
resolved Nov 3
Resolved
NO

Do Kwon. Su Zhu. Et tu, SBF?

Resolves YES if disappears (whether under indictment, investigation, or otherwise no-showing the bankruptcy hearings or any other major events); PROB in close cases; NO if captured, in attendance, or generally locatable.

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Even if he escapes custody today and disappears for the next 2 months, that won't be most of 2023. Resolving No.

predicted NO

Will this resolve early in July if he hasn’t been on the lam at all for the first 51% of the year?

bought Ṁ70 of NO

Doesn’t workout, can’t read: probably wouldn’t enjoy prison too much

predicted YES

He will be a lot less "effective" in prison most likely, so yes right (- the prob that they can catch him)

bought Ṁ75 of NO

SBF is already under supervision: https://cointelegraph.com/news/sam-bankman-fried-is-under-supervision-in-bahamas-looking-to-flee-to-dubai

sold Ṁ33 of YES

@Ophelia Oops.

sold Ṁ4 of YES

@GeorgeVii On a break so not up to date haha. Will stop betting till I'm at a laptop again I think. Lol

bought Ṁ100 of YES

this is a very funny outcome so i'm betting yes

sold Ṁ20 of YES

Related:

I guess I should hedge the jail stuff somewhat here

bought Ṁ50 of YES

I sold all the jail stuff, on the lam ftw

Will SBF be on the lam for most of 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition