Will SBF be on the lam for most of 2023?

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Ṁ9727

resolved Nov 3

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Do Kwon. Su Zhu. Et tu, SBF?

Resolves YES if disappears (whether under indictment, investigation, or otherwise no-showing the bankruptcy hearings or any other major events); PROB in close cases; NO if captured, in attendance, or generally locatable.

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Even if he escapes custody today and disappears for the next 2 months, that won't be most of 2023. Resolving No.

predicted NO

Will this resolve early in July if he hasn’t been on the lam at all for the first 51% of the year?

Doesn’t workout, can’t read: probably wouldn’t enjoy prison too much

predicted YES

He will be a lot less "effective" in prison most likely, so yes right (- the prob that they can catch him)

SBF is already under supervision: https://cointelegraph.com/news/sam-bankman-fried-is-under-supervision-in-bahamas-looking-to-flee-to-dubai

@Ophelia Oops.

@GeorgeVii On a break so not up to date haha. Will stop betting till I'm at a laptop again I think. Lol

this is a very funny outcome so i'm betting yes

I guess I should hedge the jail stuff somewhat here

I sold all the jail stuff, on the lam ftw

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