Will more than 48% of positions be YES?
40
370
790
resolved May 19
Resolved
NO

At close.

Get Ṁ500 play money

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#NameTotal profit
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8 avatar
Trongbought Ṁ5,000 of NO

Note: Final check for those who took my bribe, like this comment: i will pay you soon once i can find a way to reach everyone.

8 avatar
Trongpredicted NO

@8 Alright, I'm counting on everyone to not be a scumbag, so here to everyone who took my deal: https://manifold.markets/link/tgB5Y6St

Wobbles avatar
Wobblespredicted NO

@8 W

ButYouDisagree avatar
ButYouDisagreepredicted YES

Payoff is so good to switch to yes

SavioMak avatar
Savio Makbought Ṁ20 of NO

yeah no, I'm not betting against a common knowledge M100 bribe

8 avatar
Trongpredicted NO

Paying 100M to everyone who switches before market close!

8 avatar
Trongpredicted NO

@8 Like this comment if you've done so so i can have a list of all the people (dont like if yoou didnt switch)

SavioMak avatar
Savio Makpredicted NO

@8 can I also switch and get and mana :)

8 avatar
Trongpredicted NO

@SavioMak course! theres no limit.

ChristopherRandles avatar
Christopher Randlessold Ṁ3 of YES

@8 I sold out of yes position can I get M50? ;)

8 avatar
Trongpredicted NO

@ChristopherRandles can you join no? you only have to bid 1M!

SavioMak avatar
Savio Makpredicted NO

@8 to be really clear, I am currently betting NO. Are you saying I can get mana even for switching to YES, because I will be betting against you

8 avatar
Trongpredicted NO

@SavioMak no. only switching to no counts.

8 avatar
Trongpredicted NO

@8 (clarification: switching to no)

ChristopherRandles avatar
Christopher Randlesbought Ṁ1 of NO

@8 OK joined no

8 avatar
Trongpredicted NO

@ChristopherRandles cool! ill pay you once the market resolves (even if we lose)!

HapPLee avatar
Hap P. Leepredicted YES

@8 ill take a 100 to switch to the nos

HapPLee avatar
Hap P. Leepredicted YES

@8 i mean 200

8 avatar
Trongpredicted NO

@HapPLee my offer stands at 100

HapPLee avatar
Hap P. Leepredicted YES

@8 damn that isnt enough. i would accept 150.

dmayhem93 avatar
dmayhem93bought Ṁ50 of NO

@8 done. 😎

8 avatar
Trongbought Ṁ100 of NO
Gigacasting avatar
Gigacasting
ChristopherRandles avatar
Christopher Randlespredicted YES

21% might be low enough for no holders to sell out? Just a couple switching would be enough to swing market to 12 13 which is a yes position.

ChristopherRandles avatar
Christopher Randlesbought Ṁ4 of YES

7 yes 15 no at time of writing. Getting 4 to switch sides will probably be difficult so this looks like a sell to me.

jojo avatar
jojobought Ṁ15 of YES