Will more than 48% of positions be YES?
40
374
790
resolved May 19
Resolved
NO

At close.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ348
2Ṁ250
3Ṁ133
4Ṁ128
5Ṁ113
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bought Ṁ5,000 of NO

Note: Final check for those who took my bribe, like this comment: i will pay you soon once i can find a way to reach everyone.

predicted NO

@8 Alright, I'm counting on everyone to not be a scumbag, so here to everyone who took my deal: https://manifold.markets/link/tgB5Y6St

predicted NO

@8 W

predicted YES

Payoff is so good to switch to yes

bought Ṁ20 of NO

yeah no, I'm not betting against a common knowledge M100 bribe

predicted NO

Paying 100M to everyone who switches before market close!

predicted NO

@8 Like this comment if you've done so so i can have a list of all the people (dont like if yoou didnt switch)

predicted NO

@8 can I also switch and get and mana :)

predicted NO

@SavioMak course! theres no limit.

sold Ṁ3 of YES

@8 I sold out of yes position can I get M50? ;)

predicted NO

@ChristopherRandles can you join no? you only have to bid 1M!

predicted NO

@8 to be really clear, I am currently betting NO. Are you saying I can get mana even for switching to YES, because I will be betting against you

predicted NO

@SavioMak no. only switching to no counts.

predicted NO

@8 (clarification: switching to no)

bought Ṁ1 of NO

@8 OK joined no

predicted NO

@ChristopherRandles cool! ill pay you once the market resolves (even if we lose)!

predicted YES

@8 ill take a 100 to switch to the nos

predicted YES

@8 i mean 200

predicted NO

@HapPLee my offer stands at 100

predicted YES

@8 damn that isnt enough. i would accept 150.

bought Ṁ50 of NO

@8 done. 😎

bought Ṁ100 of NO
predicted YES

21% might be low enough for no holders to sell out? Just a couple switching would be enough to swing market to 12 13 which is a yes position.

bought Ṁ4 of YES

7 yes 15 no at time of writing. Getting 4 to switch sides will probably be difficult so this looks like a sell to me.

bought Ṁ15 of YES