Will GPT-4 leak?
Gigacasting avatar
Gigacasting
19
closes 2024
7%
chance
AI
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NoaNabeshima avatar
Noa Nabeshimais predicting NO at 9%

Information about it? The weights?

FranklinBaldo avatar
Franklin Baldois predicting NO at 12%

Before market closing, right?

BrendanFinan avatar
Brendan Finan

It will be naturally transmitted at a wet market

Related markets

Elspeth avatarElspeth
Will GPT-4 escape?8%
EA42 avatarEmbedded Agent
Will GPT-4 have over 1 trillion parameters?68%
Gigacasting avatarGigacasting
Will GPT-4 be public during 2023?88%
PseudonymousAlt avatarPseudonymousAlt
Will GPT-4 end up not as useful as most people think?23%
Gigacasting avatarGigacasting
Will GPT-4 be public by 10/1?51%
Gigacasting avatarGigacasting
Will GPT-4 be public by 7/1?26%
IsaacKing avatarIsaac
Will GPT-4 still not be safe to use for downstream programs? (Gary Marcus GPT-4 prediction #4)60%
hmys avatarHMYS
Is GPT4 sentient?20%
Mira avatarMira
Will GPT-4's parameter count be known by end of 2024?41%
SimeonCampos avatarSiméon Campos
Will GPT-4 be a superhuman coder?2%
nmehndir avatarNaman
Will GPT-4's parameter count be public by the end of June?2%
JustinTorre avatarJustin Torre
How many parameters will GPT-4 have?
andrew avatarAndrew Conner
How many parameters will GPT-4 have?750B
elibutchad avatarEli but Chad
Will GPT-4 be more competent than me in my area of expertise?23%
Gigacasting avatarGigacasting
Is GPT-4 a mixture of experts?44%
JacyAnthis avatarJacy Reese Anthis
Were the GPT-4 benchmarks contaminated?74%
Gigacasting avatarGigacasting
Will GPT-4 exceed chatGPT interest? (2023)6%
IsaacKing avatarIsaac
Will GPT-4 still be unaligned? (Gary Marcus GPT-4 prediction #6)76%
Gigacasting avatarGigacasting
Is GPT-4 best? (2023)74%
firstuserhere avatarfirstuserhere
Will it be revealed that GPT-5 was used for how GPT-5 will be released?52%