Will the United States elect a new president in 2024 (Biden or Trump)?
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Ṁ4631
resolved Nov 14
Resolved
YES

Or will somthing else happen?

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bought Ṁ50 YES

I don't understand this question. If I think that the election handover will proceed normally and Trump gets sworn in normally, I should vote YES, right? After all, Trump was "elected" in 2024 and will be "sworn in" in 2025.

bought Ṁ20 NO

@KimberlyWilberLIgt Trump's not a new president, he's an old president. The oldest president ever elected. Sad.

@PeterMillerc030 You’re conflating age with “has the president ever served before,” neither of which are relevant to this question (I think?)

@KimberlyWilberLIgt I still have no idea what question this market was asking, but I'm glad it resolved.

@GensingGenis I'm assuming "new president" means "not Biden or Trump", right? so Kamala would resolve YES, but Trump winning would resolve NO? (a bit confused by the "(Biden of Trump)" in the title so want to confirm)

@Ziddletwix I interpret this question as "will this election proceed smoothly with America electing a new president (YES)" vs "will some coup / abnormal transfer of power happen"

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