Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift on the 13th of any month?
58
1kṀ26k
Dec 30
12%
chance
Proposal announced, happened "maybe two weeks, not quite two weeks ago"
+25%
on

Resolves either when he proposes or N/A if they break up.

Resolves YES if the proposal is known to be on the 13th day of any month.

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bought Ṁ50 YES

Calling it now, this is gonna resolve YES because she references it in the album

@WoahD_ I mean, saying it in the album won’t resolve YES unless it’s actually true

I regret my position slightly given it is possible the resolution could be contentious, so I’m not going to bet the price back down even though I think is far too high

bought Ṁ500 YES

https://www.news5cleveland.com/news/local-news/travis-kelces-father-ed-kelce-says-the-couple-got-engaged-almost-2-weeks-ago

This reports that in an interview on the 26th, Ed Kelce said "Travis actually did the proposal, oh, maybe two weeks, not quite two weeks ago". Two weeks before the 26th would be the 12th. I think it's more likely than not to have been the 13th. Not sure when we'll find out.

sold Ṁ398 YES

@jcb Read the same thing, different conclusion - posted at the same time. Maybe we'll see some betting action

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 30% order

@Gen limit up for more at 30% if you want it!

sold Ṁ710 YES

unloaded a bunch of my position, I watched the full segment rather than just reading, and...

Kelce told me he was at the Eagles' open practice two weeks earlier on Sunday August 10th when he got a FaceTime call from the happy couple. "As soon as I saw the FaceTime and I saw it was Travis and then I saw Taylor there with him, I knew what they were going to say."

Looks like that was indeed the date of the apparently only Eagles practice: https://www.philadelphiaeagles.com/publicpractice/ So it seems like the engagement must have happened on or before the 10th.

Only selling to 4% since this isn't a clear/official announcement of the date and there's a chance that the reporting got it garbled somehow

sold Ṁ471 YES

No confirmation on the date, only that “Travis actually did the proposal, oh, maybe two weeks, not quite two weeks ago. He was going to put it off ‘til this week,” he said.


it seems unlikely that it was planned for the 13th if "he was going to put it off", BUT there is still a chance it was the 13th.

If it's not confirmed, I guess I can N/A, but you have to imagine they will share the date eventually..

@Gen “Resolves either when he proposes or N/A if they break up.

Resolves YES if the proposal is known to be on the 13th day of any month.”

This implies proposes but not known to be the 13th -> No

I am suddenly no longer seeing always the samolesameole dozen markets in my feed and getting some cool non-new ones like this. @Gen has the feed algorithm finally gotten an improvement visible to my naked eye?

@ClubmasterTransparent Yes! The feed algorithm has changed substantially and is still getting tweaked a bit. I’m glad it is showing you more cool things you like, thanks for letting us know!

No, obviously he’s going to propose on the 87th of the month

@mattyb This is a high tier swifty market, he would be stupid not to propose on the 13th

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