Will my flight be delayed | will they move me to an earlier flight? [short fuse]

Question

Bad weather! I was told to make this market the other day but didn’t want to worry about it, now I’m even more worried!

I’m going to arrive at the airport 6 hours early and ask to move to an earlier flight. I have a 75minute connection in LAX before a long flight to Sydney.

I got upgraded on the 15h leg so I don’t want to miss it! First flight is reg economy and I wouldn’t care what seat I’m moved to for that flight or replacement.

I also have another connection in Sydney but it is trivial to rebook that one (Aus domestic)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, They move me to an earlier flight and Flight EWR->LAX U353 is delayed >20mins are most likely. See the market for live updates (4 traders, as of Sep 27, 2026).

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