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MANIFOLD
Will my flight be delayed | will I miss my connection?
9
Ṁ1.8kṀ4.4k
resolved Sep 28
Resolved
YES
I miss my LAX connection
Resolved
YES
I miss my SYD connection
Resolved
YES
Will I get rebooked onto a Polaris flight for the long haul leg
Resolved
YES
Flight EWR->LAX U353 is delayed >20mins
Resolved
NO
They move me to an earlier flight

Bad weather! I was told to make this market the other day but didn’t want to worry about it, now I’m even more worried!

I’m going to arrive at the airport 6 hours early and ask to move to an earlier flight. I have a 75minute connection in LAX before a long flight to Sydney.

I got upgraded on the 15h leg so I don’t want to miss it! First flight is reg economy and I wouldn’t care what seat I’m moved to for that flight or replacement.

I also have another connection in Sydney but it is trivial to rebook that one (Aus domestic)

  • Update 2026-09-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): It counts as missing a connection even if the creator is successfully rescheduled for another connection.

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The results were in line with our expectations.

Ah-ha! So I was right when I assumed there would be an arbitrage/correlation between a delay and missing the connecting flights.

@Quroe if the delay is bad enough then I’m certain to miss the connections, but it’s still interesting bc I often miss the Australian connection regardless of delays

Spent the entire time at the gate on the phone complaining. First service person told me to use the chat, I get on the chat and I do what ChatGPT says which is tell them “do not rebook me until I confirm” and then they immediately rebook me onto something economy bs because there’s nothing available (tbf there were no Polaris seats to Sydney tomorrow)

An hour later on the phone eventually I keep telling them I can see other flights to Melbourne instead of Sydney that I can fly business, repeat x10 and eventually they escalate to someone who can arrange it. Now booked Polaris to Melbourne tomorrow and then connect to Adelaide

The first person refunded me immediately without me agreeing, so maybe new market will I receive the refund as well? It wasn’t a waitlist upgrade, I had paid upfront for a confirmed upgrade (miles + $600, it was a very good deal for a 15h flight so of course I wanted them to honour it)

still unclear: what hotel I stay at when I land in LA later tonight, what other compensation I will get (excluding the $15 meal voucher they texted everyone lolllll) and what to do tomorrow

@Gen also worth mentioning that if it weren’t a mechanical fault and it was weather, I am 99% sure they would have told me to kick rocks. Lucked out big time with the cause of the delay if nothing else …

Also got some intel on why they wouldn’t let me fly early - it’s annoying to arrange bag connections (or something???) for international legs where it’s all on one ticket. Idk it didn’t make sense to me but it probably helped them feel bad that I had tried to avoid this and still missed my flight

@Gen You must be cursed. To go through all this trouble to dodge weather, have the weather be fine, and then get a mechanical delay anyway is crazy. In like 50 flights I've had only 1 delay after boarding and it was weather related.

@Gen If you want to work at a coffee shop I highly recommend Smoky Hollow in El Segundo (Blue Butterfly is also good but much busier). If you like the beach I would recommend walking around Manhattan Beach or Hermosa Beach pier. If you like museums the county museum of art is good.

Edit: I forgot to mention, but be prepared to spend an arm and a leg for ubers/lyft

@Zeolite I will probably find 1 thing to do during the day and then otherwise spend all day in the airport lounge, but we’ll see! Depends where I end up staying ig

@Kire_ I very much appreciate the recommendations !

Swapping planes, 3 hours until the next one. I don’t care about going to LA so I’ll see what my options are..

If you miss your connection will they honor your upgrade on a later flight?

@Kire_ idk, pretty much definitely miss the connection now

Man wtf we were all good no issues weather fine and now they have an issue with the throttle lever(??) and have aborted takeoff and now say we’re returning to gate 💀

😬

@Gen My mana!

@Gen that was my doing

i saw the weather was not looking too bad so i sabotaged your plane's throttle so i wouldnt lose mana

sorry

@bobalobascrob lmao update above if you are interested.

lol the updated time now says we’ll be early to lax! Seems like it should all be ok.

@Gen Does it count as missing a connection if they reschedule you for another connection successfully?

@Quroe Yes, mostly bc it still messes up my schedule a lot, and it seems very unlikely that I'd get scheduled on another flight with Polaris upgrade. My first time flying Polaris, I don't want to miss it - the lounge is very nice in EWR at least!

wow I’m surprised they wouldn’t let you take an earlier flight. It looked like there were plenty of flights and open seats

@StevetptC8 I was surprised too, I even received the alert saying they have a travel waiver and there's no cost to switch. Still wasn't able to. Maybe because of my connections

bought Ṁ10 NO

yoooooo i placed my bet JUSSSST in time

Ok update: I missed my train so I’m only going to be like 5hrs early now. Trains are also being cancelled but unsure if that’s weather or unrelated