Will Destiny play League of Legends before the end of February 2023?
Will Destiny play League of Legends before the end of February 2023?
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Ṁ29kresolved Mar 1
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He has to actually play, not just launch.
[Edit]
Clarification:
Once Destiny leaves the launcher client, and has the "loading screen" for the proper client where the game is player, and actually loads in, I'll consider this resolved YES. Even if he doesn't complete the game.
My other market, about whether he wins game 1 or not, requires him to play at least 5 minutes. This is different.
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@JiroAzuma I won’t misresolve the market but I am always willing to help out a fellow degenerate gambler with some emergency leverage in a time of need https://manifold.markets/link/WjfFw305
Plus, you’re not down until you sell, or this resolves 💀
@JiroAzuma when I realize I got hit by the sunk-cost fallacy, I usually find it easier to sell my shares in small chunks over time.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
Learn more.1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.