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MANIFOLD
Aella's Magic Button poll: which side gets more votes? [SHORT FUSE]
4
Ṁ1kṀ18k
Jul 29
98.6%
chance

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bought Ṁ4,000 YES

5 min in and all the uncertainty is gone

bought Ṁ500 YES

@Bayesian This should be closer to 50/50, the early audience are all nerds

bought Ṁ500 NO

@Gen fk you're right but why didn't you bet against me 😟

sold Ṁ720 YES

@Bayesian Because my fear is that this tweet doesn't go viral enough to get many non-nerds

bought Ṁ1,250 YES

valid valid we will see

i'll buy more YES at 83% if you wanna bet

bought Ṁ500 YES

@Bayesian nah 😄