[Predict the year] Guantanamo Bay Naval Station ceases to operate as a detention facility
Basic
6
Ṁ105
2073
2,037
expected

This market attempts to use the numerical options to forecast the year something happens.


Resolution Criteria:

  1. Definition: "Cease to operate as a detention facility" means no detainees are held under U.S. military custody within the facility.

  2. Official Confirmation: Public announcement by the U.S. Department of Defense, the President, or equivalent.

  3. Verification: Independent verification (e.g., media reports, international inspections) confirming the absence of detainees.

  4. Permanent Closure: Evidence or announcement indicating the facility won't be used for detention in the future, not just a temporary absence of detainees.

  5. Resolves N/A if it still functions as a detention facility on January 1st, 2074.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules