When will Guantánamo Bay Naval Station cease to operate as a detention facility?
6
41
Ṁ105Ṁ200
2073
2,037
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market attempts to use the numerical options to forecast the year something happens.
Resolution Criteria:
Definition: "Cease to operate as a detention facility" means no detainees are held under U.S. military custody within the facility.
Official Confirmation: Public announcement by the U.S. Department of Defense, the President, or equivalent.
Verification: Independent verification (e.g., media reports, international inspections) confirming the absence of detainees.
Permanent Closure: Evidence or announcement indicating the facility won't be used for detention in the future, not just a temporary absence of detainees.
Resolves N/A if it still functions as a detention facility on January 1st, 2074.
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