This market resolves based on whether the front cover design of If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies by Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares is substantially different on release day (16 September 2025) compared to the version currently shown below.
Small additions like a “New York Times Bestseller” label or review blurbs do not count as substantial changes. The design must be meaningfully altered—e.g. new artwork, different typography, layout, or title formatting.
Only the first edition published on release day counts. Later reprints or updated editions are not considered.
Resolution will be based on the cover shown on the publisher’s official site or a major bookseller (e.g. Amazon) on 16 September 2025.
I will not bet in this market.
1,000I was betting that this was just a proof — really, it’s awful — but the matching website has convinced me that the real cover is this or something trivially different.
Pity, the title and concept lend to amazing possibilities. (I’m a co-curator of bookcoverarchive.com)
@Eric_WVGG Eliezer, Nate, if you have any influence with the publishers for the paperback edition, get in touch, I know some guys
@Eric_WVGG pinging @EliezerYudkowsky because the current cover really is pretty bad, and this might slightly increase the odds of a front cover change.
