Will Intels CPU market share drop below 60% by the end of 2024? | Manifold

Will Intels CPU market share drop below 60% by the end of 2024?

Technology•Chip Wars

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Ṁ230

Dec 30

33%

chance

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Statista will be used to verify, which has quarterly datapoints. If it drops below 60% at any point before the end of 2024 this will resolve YES.

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predicts YES

Oh, I just realized, the title sounds more like overall market share (any architecture). Original intention was the link below (x86 intel vs amd I guess). I can resolve this to however traders interpreted though I may not have a good source for overall share. Comment with opinions and whatnot

predicts YES

61.1% for Q4. https://www.statista.com/statistics/735904/worldwide-x86-intel-amd-market-share/

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Presently, we see a 63% / 35% split between Intel and AMD. Given proximity to the threshold I think this is quite likely, even if it is temporary.

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