This is a double or nothing market intended to allow participants to gamble their M$. To prevent manipulation of outcome, resolution will be based on the random number published in the tweet of @dailyrandomnums on the next day:
https://twitter.com/dailyrandomnums?s=20&t=fe0KtOTzgfdcz6g4RmwlmQ
The market will resolve to a Yes if the first number in the tweet is even.
The market will resolve to a No if the first number in the tweet is odd.
Example: Consider the Daily Double or Nothing Market for Nov 19.
The Nov 20th tweet are as follows: """Today's random numbers: 6050 5459 3595 2366 9171 0939 1949 4707 3434; today's random dice rolls: 2 5 1 5 3 5 3 3 6"""
The first number, 6050, is even therefore the market will resolve to a Yes.
Market closes at 11:59pm ET of each day.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ100 | |
| 2 | Ṁ86 | |
| 3 | Ṁ52 | |
| 4 | Ṁ26 | |
| 5 | Ṁ22 |
@Gamble_market It's EV negative to bet away from 50%, so I'm just surprised that so many people are doing so.
@IsaacKing Casinos in Las Vegas generates over 10 billion of revenue each year, so that's a bigger puzzle to solve