Will large areas of New England have blackouts in the 2021-2022 winter?
Basic
4
Ṁ197resolved Mar 30
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Recent reporting (eg. https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/12/14/nation/rolling-blackouts-possible-new-england-this-winter-regional-grid-warns/) has suggested that there might be blackouts in New England due to natural gas price spikes and supply chain issues. However, it is also expected to be an unusually mild winter, so gas usage will likely be lower than in past years.
This market will resolve negatively if blackouts occur but only because of physical damage, such as lines that are downed by trees.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Can I get my money back? I think I am the only one who bet. If I win I win back my money. If I lose it all disapears. All risk no reward.
Seems like I can sell now. But before I made this second bet so I could comment I couldn't sell my position. Or maybe I could only sell for 0$.
Comment for bug reporting.
Related questions
Related questions
Will any U.S. State have more than 50,000 customers without power on or before 12/31/2024?
71% chance
Will Texas experience blackouts this Winter?
27% chance
Will rolling blackouts occur in the ERCOT (Texas) region in Winter 2024/2025?
33% chance
Will a winter storm cause over $1 billion in damage in the Northeast between July 20 and December 31, 2024 ?
41% chance
Will any state have more than 100,000 customers without power (red on US Power Outage Map) before the end of 2024?
64% chance
Will any major US city have a blackout of at least a day before 2025?
83% chance
Will there be any one transmission line outage that causes over one million Americans to not have electricity in 2024?
72% chance
Will a flood cause over $1 billion in damage in the Northeast between July 20 and December 31, 2024 ?
37% chance