To rephrase the logic (this should be the same thing as the description):

IF Johnson stays as speaker AND if Democrats had acted differently he would no longer be speaker

THEN resolves YES

ELSE resolves NO

In other words, if Democrats vote present or don't show up, so Johnson isn't out, and they could have voted him out, this would resolve YES. This could also resolve YES if they simply vote to keep him.

I've edited the title to "If there is a vote to remove Mike Johnson as speaker, will House Democrats save him?". This was always how the market was described to resolve, this just makes it clear from the title.

@Gabrielle just want to clarify, does this resolve on the results of the first MTV to get a vote?

@SemioticRivalry Yes, it will be whichever is the next vote on a motion to vacate (I'm not 100% sure of the technical terms here), assuming there is one this Congress.

"when the enemy is making a false movement we must take good care not to interrupt him." - Napoleon (or someone else who said something similar)

Reportedly MTG has filed a motion to vacate. If so and it comes to a vote, this market will refer to that vote.

@SemioticRivalry Mike Johnson has shown 0 daylight between him and Trump. There’s no a shot in hell that he “does the right thing” here.