Will this market be at <50% when it closes?
10
48
230
resolved Jan 17
Resolved
NO

Closes a week from now. Exactly 50% resolves inconclusive. I will not vote.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ419 of NO

I hope I didn't mess up anything

sold Ṁ27 of NO

@XComhghall Masterful!

bought Ṁ0 of YES

@XComhghall congrats! as was said below, someone wasn’t paying attention.

predicted NO

@deagol I am not seeing Simon under the users tab. I hope he didn't lose any mana. However, the probability of market mis-resolutions is not 0.

predicted YES

@XComhghall In his portfolio it shows he got them, but filled a minute after close, yet yours shows a minute before. 🤔

predicted NO

@deagol All the better if this is the market where no one is hurt!

predicted YES

@XComhghall now shows up in users tab, unfortunately for simon.

sold Ṁ17 of YES

I hope it doesn't get resolved to N/A. I've made a sweet 2M from buying "low" and selling "high". :P

@Fion Having said that I don't really see how it could end at anything other than 50%. All it takes is for both sides to be paying attention.

bought Ṁ0 of NO

@Fion someone’s bound to snipe the close?

predicted NO

@deagol ah no that won’t work (and I already knew that 🤦🏻‍♂️)

bought Ṁ2 of YES

@Fion if it solved at MKT instead of N/A when 50%, us smart traders who played it right would get to keep our tiny profits.

Will you use the API to determine the percentage?

@JimHays No. I'll use the number shown on the market page in the top right.