How many women will I cold approach before I go on a date?
52
500
2.2K
resolved Nov 22
Resolved
N/A

Context:

33 year old white male. 6'2", 250 pounds. My profession is a solid middle-but-not-upper class, and my income is roughly the 85th percentile for my city. My city has less than a million but more than half a million residents. Sex ratio is closer to NYC than SF.

Willing to answer questions about my mate value in the comments but not ready to de-anonymize myself.

Counting method

Count will start from zero and iterate up for each woman I cold approach. Option will resolve when

  • I go on a date with a woman that I met through cold approach OR

  • A woman I cold approach declines my advances, but introduces me to another woman that I go on a date with

Dates with the following women will not resolve this option (because they make the challenge too easy):

  • Women I meet online

  • Women who initiate contact with me

  • Women that I meet from personal ads or paid matchmakers

  • Women I meet at speed dating or singles events

  • Women I meet abroad

  • Women that my friends or family set me up with

  • Women that were part of my work or social circles and got upgraded to girlfriend

  • Dates with the woman I am currently in a casual relationship with (I've told her I am looking at other people, and that I don't see long-term potential)

My goal is to get a girlfriend the hard way. To that end, I am delibrately choosing to avoid dating women through any of "easy" methods listed. However I cannot guarentee that I won't chicken out and settle on a woman that I met through an "easy" method.

If I do go on a date with a woman I meet through an easy method, option will remain open through through the deadline and continue to iterate upwards for each cold approach I do. Also, you will be within your rights to shame me as a pushover who can't commit to anything difficult.

Resolution:

  • If I go on a date with a woman I met through cold approach, option will resolve with however many women I cold approached while the option was active.

  • This option's value is capped at 99. If I make more than 99 approaches, I will try to find some way to increase the cap, else option will resolve at 99.

  • If after one year I have not dated any women that I met through cold approach, option with resolve as n/a.

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predicted LOWER

You will work on it again I suppose (and hope).

predicted LOWER

Sorry to hear it!

bought Ṁ10 of LOWER

@GG have you tried it so far?

@TheBayesian No I haven't done anything. This market will likely resolve n/a.

bought Ṁ15 of LOWER

I don't know if this counts as a cold approach, but my most successful thing is to strike up a conversation with someone by donating to charity on their behalf when they are accosted by someone asking for donations.
Admittedly this isn't as common now as it was in college, but that's what I got for ya.

is this N/A if you don't get a date by expiration time?

@JonathanRay Correct.

bought Ṁ95 of LOWER

I've gotten a roughly 1/3 success rate with cold approaches and I am a diagnosed autistic. You'd have to give off the most horrific raper vibes in order to not get a date after 10 approaches. Like if you don't get a couple numbers after 10, you should go to a therapist immediately lmao

@Pickle How old are you? I'm 34.

predicted LOWER

@GG 29. Diagnosed with the auts a couple years ago. Started getting into Taoism a few years ago but am getting more serious now. Trauma informed therapy has been tremendously helpful.

I'm in a relationship but am poly so I'm always open to new friends and relationships so it makes being social easier. If you are single, your first goal should be to build and maintain genuine platonic friendships with women, the need for female validation is a real thing and if you only get it from a prospective partner, you are going to get your soul crushed AND scare off any women with secure attachment.

I've seen people say that men can't be friends with women. These people are shitty partners.

While I don't necessarily endorse this, I guess you've had some interesting experiences, how has it been?

@NathanpmYoung I've been to scared to do any approaches.

@GG Many such cases

bought Ṁ10 of HIGHER

With all due respect, I feel like a BMI of 32,1 (according to the first online calculator I found) is... somewhat lowering your chances?

@b575 Absolutely!

bought Ṁ50 of LOWER

30 is too high! Best of luck!

How's it going?

@BenjaminIkuta on track to resolve as n/a😔

@GG Not cold approaching anymore?

bought Ṁ100 of LOWER

@GG When doing difficult challenges like this it helped me to remind myself about this idea „What you do on your bad days matters more than what you do on your good days” Good luck!

Where/how do you plan to do the cold approaches?

bought Ṁ50 of HIGHER

Good luck!

@Jetbat love the epistemic hygiene involved in wishing me good luck, then betting against me 🤣🤣

predicted HIGHER

@GG haha I did so with the assumption you need to run high volume to actually land dates. Higher than 15 is a safe bet imo. Would love to be proven wrong, for your sake!

bought Ṁ10 of HIGHER

Love the autogenerated art on this one.

@ShakedKoplewitz How do I see it?

predicted HIGHER

@GG Good question, I can see it in the link to this market from the front page, but not from inside the page from the market.