Will Henry get his visa before Tobi turns 18?

Question

Tobi turns 18 in August and then he’s allowed to travel to Austria. Henry is not allowed to leave Austria since he’s not got a visa to come back in. What happens first?

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 50% chance (1 traders, as of Apr 26, 2026).

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