Will Kevin McCarthy be formally nominated on the floor to be Speaker of the House in 2023?
16
113
290
resolved Oct 25
Resolved
NO

Must happen on the floor, not in Conference. Can happen anytime in 2023. Market will be kept open until 12/31/2023 to allow for the possibility that the Chair is again Vacated, unless this resolves yes before then.

Apologies for the inadequate terms last time. I'm on the learning curve.

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predicted NO

Looks like there probably won’t be another vote until next year

predicted YES

@Issc There could be another vote at any time.

predicted NO

@FrederickNorris True it’s just less likely now that Jordan has backed down a little

bought Ṁ10 of NO

I'm voting NO. Both sides were apologetic about giving long nomination speeches. No one wants to hear speeches for the sake of speeches, which is what it would be at this point.

@KevinLobLaw he couldn't be speaker? I'm not really paying attention, just betting on the unexpected.

bought Ṁ1 of NO

@will58c3 Seems to me there is absolutely a chance that people nominate McCarthy again, and decide to test the mettle of Gaetz and crew, instead of the 22 patriots holding the line against Gym Jordan.

bought Ṁ0 of YES

@KevinLobLaw at this point, it seems to me like Kevin McCarthy has a legitimate chance of returning, so he certainly has a greater chance of being nominated. I wouldn't say it's the most likely thing, but I'd be happy to have my limit order filled at 25%.