In 2024, Bolsa Família provides a base payment of R$ 600 per family, with additional benefits of R$ 150 per child up to six years old and R$ 50 per dependent aged 7 to 18. For instance, a single parent with one young child receives R$ 750 per month, which is still below the current minimum wage of R$ 1,412.

This market predicts whether a single parent in Brazil will be able to earn at least one minimum wage per month through Bolsa Família or a similar program by December 31, 2029.

Key factors include:

- **Economic conditions**: Inflation, cost of living, and government spending on social programs.

- **Political developments**: Future policy changes or expansions to Bolsa Família or similar initiatives.

- **Technological integration**: AI’s role in optimizing workforce.

The question resolves to YES if, by the end of 2029, a single parent with one child can receive the equivalent of one minimum wage through Bolsa Família or an equivalent government program.