What will be true about the X (Twitter) and Brazil Supreme Court controversy by April 2025?
36
1.5kṀ15k
resolved Jun 13
Resolved
YES
Brazilians need VPN to access X
Resolved
YES
X is fined in R$ 100k (20k USD) or more
Resolved
YES
X appoints a local representative in Brazil
Resolved
YES
The blocking of X is lifted
Resolved
YES
X effectively pays a fine of R$ 100k or more
Resolved
YES
X closed their office in Brazil
Resolved
NO
Alexandre de Moraes resigned or was impeached
Resolved
NO
A criminal case was initiated against Elon Musk in Brazil
Resolved
NO
Any X employee spends 2 days or more in Brazilian jail / prison
Resolved
NO
Brazilians can use starlink service for free
Resolved
NO
A prison warrant is issued against Elon Musk
Resolved
NO
Dogecoin is forbidden in Brazil

This market forecasts the status of the ongoing controversy between X (formerly Twitter) and the Brazil Supreme Court in April 2025. Participants will predict the long-term outcomes of this conflict, which revolves around issues of free speech, content moderation, and the balance between corporate autonomy and government regulation.

Elon Musk has decided that X (formerly Twitter) will not comply with a court order from Brazil's Supreme Court, which he views as an aggressive act of censorship, particularly concerning the "Twitter Files Brazil." Musk emphasizes that principles, specifically defending free speech, are more important than profit, even if it means facing financial and operational consequences in Brazil​ (The Epoch Times)​.

Predictions might include whether the legal dispute has been resolved, the impact on X's operations in Brazil, any lasting changes to Brazilian law or digital policy, and the broader implications for global internet governance and free speech online.

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