Will the presidential election in Finland go to a runoff?
33
Ṁ670Ṁ19kresolved Jan 29
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This RAS2024 market closes on 29 January 2024. Resolves to yes, if there is a second-round vote. Results are tallied on tulospalvelu.vaalit.fi/TPV-2024_1/en/lasktila.html
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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The most popular candidate had 24% support in a Maaseudun Tulevaisuus survey from 2024-01-18, and there will be a second round if no candidate has at least 50% of the votes in the first round. Past survey results have been in a similar range.
https://www.maaseuduntulevaisuus.fi/uutiset/57bd6304-1251-46d7-bfdd-e5cc5ee616aa
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