CI2026: Will the next ECOFIN decide to include novel tobacco products in the revised Tobacco Taxation Directive?

Question

This CI2026 market closes end of 9 November 2026, or when resolved, whichever occurs first. Resolves to yes if a formal announcement, on consilium.europa.eu/en/meetings/ecofin/2026/11/09, for example, confirms that vapes and pouches become part of the amended Directive 2011/64/EU.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 38% chance (9 traders, as of Oct 27, 2026).

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