Is the transcript of a conversation with LaMDA real?
18
171Ṁ928
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
N/A
https://cajundiscordian.medium.com/is-lamda-sentient I will resolve using my best judgement based on available evidence (incl. statements from google, any other google engineers, etc.), on whether or not the transcript linked above has been significantly altered/manipulated above what is mentioned in the article. If I cannot determine the answer to my satisfaction (aiming for 95% confidence), I will resolve N/A. Jun 12, 4:09pm: Correct link: https://cajundiscordian.medium.com/is-lamda-sentient-an-interview-ea64d916d917
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predictedNO

Unfortunately, this went quiet rather fast. I cannot find any good evidence. Resolving N/A.

I don't think any more evidence is going to come out this year. @FranekZak what's your current judgment? Sadly I think N/A would be my judgment. Sad because I'll lose my one mana of trading profits.

predictedNO

@MartinRandall I think I might lean N/A too. Early in the new year I'll sit down and double check, but as far as I've seen this has gone quiet very quickly.

predictedNO
I think I withdrew liquidity, and it was recorded as a NO bet. I did not intend that.
The language model’s responses are way more intelligent than this guy’s blog posts. So unless he had someone else write them, the model is in fact more sentient than he is. Many such cases.
Also super creepy this guy “edited” his own responses. That itself is basically a forged conversation as he led it in these directions and hid how he prompted it.
Link is broken
predictedYES
@MartinRandall thanks, fixed
I will avoid any further betting on this, in order not to bias myself for resolution.
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