Will more than 100 people be killed in Russia by presumed pro-Ukrainian activity in 2023?
23
430Ṁ949
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

A death is presumed connected to Ukraine if it's claimed to be by at least one official representative of Russia or Ukraine, or by the perpetrators themselves. For instance Darya Dugina counts, as Russian officials accused Ukraine, even if they deny. The Bryansk incident also counts, since the perpetrators declared their allegiance to Ukraine. If someone is murdered for reasons likely connected with the war, but no one implies Ukrainian involvement, it doesn't count.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ136
2Ṁ39
3Ṁ33
4Ṁ28
5Ṁ24
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy