Will this market go below 60%? (ignoring the first 6 hours)

Basic

Ṁ20k

resolved Apr 9

Resolved

YES

ALL

This market stays open for 7 days and 6 hours. This resolves YES if at any time after the first 6 hours (on or after 19:20:00 CEST on 9 Apr 2023) the displayed market value is 59% or lower. It resolves NO at closing if this has not happened.

There will be a delay between the YES condition being triggered and the market resolving, that can be used to trade.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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9 Comments

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I didn't expect this to have already triggered by now.
I hope @Jake123 has a deal with someone, otherwise they triggered the market at a pretty heavy loss for themselves.

This site is buggy af

Your limit doesn't work.

@DuSusisu They may not have had the mana

@DuSusisu Probably the limit order was already filled by someone else

@FlorisvanDoorn if a huge number of people place limit orders it will crash the site, watch

predicted YES

@DuSusisu Which limit order didn't get filled? If it was at 59%, that's not a bug. The market going down to 59% won't necessarily fill 59% limit orders - it will only fill them if someone tried to push it below 59%.

predicted YES

@JosephNoonan Note that this comment was from way before the 59% was hit

predicted NO

@FlorisvanDoorn this user (@DuSusisu, aka Mark Ingraham) is probably trolling

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