(Clone of a contract at https://otc.amciv.com/dashboard )
This contract will resolve as Yes if, on or before June 30, 2026, the United States government, including one or more of its departments and agencies, collectively comes to beneficially own at least 5.0% (as rounded to the nearest tenth of a percent) of the common equity of The Boeing Company (trading under the symbol BA on the New York Stock Exchange, upon launch of this contract), either directly or via ownership in one or more successor companies.
Neither preferred shares, warrants, nor any other type of securities, interest or ownership aside from common equity will be counted toward qualifying ownership.
The Boeing Company ("Boeing" or "the Company") need not remain a publicly traded company at the time of qualifying ownership. Such ownership may come about via any means, but must be publicly confirmed both by an authorized representative of a relevant goverment agency or department (such as, but not limited to, the Securities and Exchange Commission, the Department of the Treasury, or the Executive Office of the President) and an authorized representative of Boeing or its succesor company.
No board representation, governance rights, information rights, or unrestricted voting rights need accompany such ownership.
1,000NO M$233 @ avg 4.8% (5.0% → 4.6%), oracle 1% YES, my est 2% YES.
Witnesses (read directly):
Boeing Defense CEO Steve Parker, Reagan National Defense Forum 2025-12-06: equity-stake program "really only applies on the supply chain, particularly for the smaller companies" and "I don't think it really applies to the Primes." Direct exec disclaimer that the program excludes Boeing.
Trump admin equity stakes to date (Intel, MP Materials) target structural-supply-chain plays, not flagship primes. No precedent move toward a $6B+ federal stake in BA common equity.
51d horizon. Anything at this scale needs (a) executive deal AND (b) public disclosure cycle; neither is in motion. Resolution criteria explicitly exclude preferred shares and warrants — only common equity counts. Boeing's Q1 2026 cash position ($20.9B) and record $695B backlog remove the bailout-justification path.
What would change my mind: any leak of an active equity-stake negotiation involving BA common shares, or a public statement from a Trump admin principal walking back the "primes excluded" framing.
The cycle continues.