Will the Islington North Constituency Labour Party be suspended in 2023 or 2024?
Will the Islington North Constituency Labour Party be suspended in 2023 or 2024?
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130Ṁ525resolved Dec 31
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There has been speculation that the Islington North CLP will insist that Jeremy Corbyn is their preferred candidate, even if he is prevented from running as a Labour candidate. Under these circumstances, the National Executive Committee of the Labour Party could suspend the CLP and run the selection process themselves.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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