What number streak will I get to on Manifold?

Basic

Ṁ32k

2028

99%

700

98%

731 (two years)

98%

800

96%

900

95%

1000

91%

1096 (three years)

Resolved

YES

450

Resolved

YES

500

Resolved

YES

600

I got to a 400 day streak today. How long will I keep it going? Each option in this market resolves YES when I pass that number. If I break my streak, all options that have not already resolved YES, resolve NO. (If I break my streak tomorrow, start again from zero, and get up to 500, that's still a NO. It has to be this "attempt".)

https://manifold.markets/Fion/will-i-get-to-a-400-day-streak?r=Rmlvbg

If Manifold stops doing streaks, all options that have not already resolved will resolve NA. If they remove streaks from the UI but they're still accessible from the API, I'll keep going.

I will bet in this market, but I will not take a NO position at any point.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Personal Goals

#Manifold

Get

1,000

and

3.00

4 Comments

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500

bought Ṁ11,700 450 YES

bought Ṁ500 450 YES

20 days to the 450 mark. Good odds for anybody betting against right now!

I'll be travelling for around 40 days from around the 460 day mark to the 500 day mark. I expect I'll mostly have access to Manifold, and besides, streak forgiveness is a thing (unless they've discontinued it), but that's why I'm a little bit less sure of making it to 500 days.

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