Is Manifold better or worse now than it was in March?
32
Oct 6
Better
Worse

There have been various changes to Manifold since March:

  • Fees on betting

  • Removing loans

  • Removing calibration

  • Not letting you bet markets past 1% or 99%

  • Making NA mods-only

  • Removing P2P mana transfers (and then quietly reinstating them)

  • Change of mana exchange rate (and then back again)

  • Removing trader bonuses (and then reinstating them)

  • Some stuff to do with real money betting that I haven't been following.

(There's an argument that the things where they reversed the changes shouldn't count for this poll, because I'm asking "is Manifold better or worse", not "are you happy with the choices they've made". But maybe an environment in which big changes might happen and be reversed at any time is worse than an environment where you have confidence that that won't happen?)

Please also consider any changes that I haven't listed here, if they're relevant to your opinion of how good Manifold is. You might wish to consider factors such as:

  • Prediction accuracy

  • Interface

  • Reliability

  • Overall enjoyment

  • Mod helpfulness

  • Quality of questions available

And anything else you can think of that is relevant to your opinion of how good Manifold is.

Please do not use this market to say how satisfied you are with Manifold in general, but only whether it's got better or worse since March. If you can't remember what it was like in March, or if you didn't use the site back then, please refrain from voting in the poll but please feel free to discuss your opinion in the comments.

This poll is open for one week and will be used to resolve this market: https://manifold.markets/Fion/will-manifold-be-worse-in-september?play=true

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It's slightly unfortunate timing that they did big changes in the middle of this poll. ๐Ÿ˜…

worse, in a binary. but trending better on a gradient