Will 1 or more person test positive upon arrival at Lesswrong Community weekend 2023 and have to isolate or return home?
9
closed Sep 21
69%
chance
1D
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The event has 150 people, there will be testing on everyone before entering the event. If someone tests positive, they will not be allowed to mingle with everyone else, but will either have separate accomodations arranged or travel back to their home.
Last year there was 1 case.
Market closes before the weekend happens (september 22-25th) so the event is useful as a prediction for the people attending.
If the figure is not disclosed by the organisers or otherwise unknown, the market will resolve N/A. As this market has low subjectivity, I may trade in it.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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