What will be true of the Italian GP weekend? ( Emilia Romagna / Imola )
26
89
1k
May 19
26%
0 cars DNF after starting the race
84%
17+ cars finish the main race
89%
2 drivers of the bottom 5 teams end up in the points (Alpine, Sauber, Williams, Haas, RB Honda)
43%
2+ cars DNF after starting the race
29%
Alonso finishes 5 places ahead of Stroll
99%
At least 1 big crash during the entire weekend (trainings, qualy or race)
48%
Kick Sauber has a 5+ second pit stop
84%
Mclaren has 2 drivers finish in the top 6 (Norris+Piastri)
96%
Mclaren have at least 1 driver on the Podium
34%
Russell finishes ahead of Hamilton in the race
83%
The safety car is used for at least 1 entire lap in the main race
27%
There is a red flag during the main race
51%
Verstappen leads 1+ seconds after 2 laps (main race)
28%
Verstappen wins with an 8 second lead
Resolved
YES
Q: Between Ferrari and Mercedes, Ferrari qualify highest
Resolved
YES
Q: Hamilton makes it into Q3
Resolved
YES
Q: Hulkenberg gets into Q3
Resolved
YES
Q: Verstappen gets pole position

What's going to happen at the United States Miami Grand Prix 2024? Side bets for the Miami Grand Prix, you can add your own answers. About both Sprint Qualifying (3rd), Qualifying (4th), Sprint (4th) and the Grand Prix (5th of May) or about free practice if you want to add those. Markets should reasonably resolve before the GP after starts.

Markets are resolved according to the following criteria: https://gist.github.com/kevinburke/190b4c7fedfae12bc8e115519f4a9541

GUIDELINES:

  • I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

  • Make your answer submissions as clear and descriptive as possible. I reserve the right to rephrase answers as needed.

For your convenience I've prefixed the questions that definitely end after qualification with Q: so you can alphabetically sort them during qualy.

Clarifications:

The Q questions, about qualification are about the Qualification for the main race, not the qualification for the sprint race.
'Between Ferrari and Mercedes, Ferrari qualify highest' means for the qualifying positions after Q3, before penalties, Ferrari has a car more at the front (1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc) than either Mercedes car.

'At least 1 big crash during the entire weekend (trainings, qualy or race)': A crash can be just 1 person into the wall. Has to not be a little wall collision, has to involve serious damage to the car. By example Zhou in practice in Saudi Arabia would could. Very likely means the car cannot continue another lap.

'17+ cars finish the main race' how many cars finish the last lap of the main race, also means if 1 car doesn't start the race it will be 1 less car that crosses the finish line. This is race cars, the safety car or anything does not count.

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At least 1 big crash during the entire weekend (trainings, qualy or race)
bought Ṁ197 Q: Verstappen gets p... YES

@redheness Yes, he could not have gone another lap in that car, nor fix it up during the free practice. That counts as a big crash.

reposted

Qualifying now underway, getting to the end of Q2.