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MANIFOLD
Claude Sonnet 5 released this week?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ100
resolved Feb 9
Resolved
NO

If whether Sonnet 5 was released is ambiguous (various valid definitions yield a different resolution decision), uninvolved moderators will be asked to resolve the market based on what they find to be most reasonable, between YES, NO, and N/A. The market will not resolve to PROB.

  • Update 2026-02-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Time zone and week definition:

    • Saturday (US time) counts as "this week"

    • Next Monday counts as "next week"

    • Sunday (US time) releases will resolve N/A due to ambiguity

    • Releases with ambiguous dates across mainland US time zones will resolve N/A

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