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MANIFOLD
New Jersey's 9th District margin of victory
1
Ṁ225Ṁ70
2027
76%
Pou, 2+ pts
76%
Pou, 5+ pts
69%
Pou, 8+ pts
50%
Pou, 14+ pts
50%
Pou, 11+ pts
50%
Pou, 17+ pts
50%
Pou, 26+ pts
50%
Pou, 23+ pts
24%
Pou, 20+ pts

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-nj09d

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 9th District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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