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MANIFOLD
Alaska Governor margin of victory
3
Ṁ150Ṁ95
2027
84%
Democrats, 2+ pts
65%
Democrats, 5+ pts
57%
Democrats, 8+ pts
36%
Democrats, 11+ pts
25%
Democrats, 14+ pts
24%
Democrats, 17+ pts

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-akgovd

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Alaska by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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