Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if GPT-5.4-Codex (or any higher Codex version number) is released before GPT-5.3 (or any higher GPT version number). The market resolves NO if GPT-5.3 is released first, or if both are released simultaneously. Resolution will be determined by official OpenAI announcements and release dates published on OpenAI's official website or OpenAI's blog.

Background

GPT-5 was unveiled by OpenAI on August 7, with GPT-5.2 released as the next upgrade to the GPT-5 series. GPT-5.3-Codex is the most capable agentic coding model to date, advancing both the frontier coding performance of GPT-5.2-Codex and the reasoning and professional knowledge capabilities of GPT-5.2. GPT-5.3-Codex is now rolling out in GitHub Copilot. Codex is OpenAI's specialized coding agent, while GPT versions are general-purpose models.

Considerations

The question assumes both GPT-5.4-Codex and GPT-5.3 will eventually be released. If either model is never released, the market will resolve N/A. Additionally, version numbering for Codex and GPT may diverge in the future—the market resolves based on whichever next version is released first, regardless of the specific version number.

This description was generated by AI.