Will the Marine Iguana, aka Sea Iguana (Amblyrhynchus cristatus) become extinct in the current century?
5
27
200
2099
58%
chance

The Marine Iguana is a species of lizard endemic to the Galápagos Islands. It is able forage for algae in seawater. This market will resolve YES if the Marine Iguana is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marine_iguana

IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Vulnerable

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/1086/177552193

Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.

For comparisons with other species, you can find here more markets about species extinction risks:

https://manifold.markets/ExtinctionRisk?tab=questions

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