The California Condor is a New World Vulture and the largest land bird in North America. It became extinct in the wild in 1987 but has since been reintroduced to the wild in California, Arizona and Baja California, Mexiko. This market will resolve YES if the California Condor is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_condor
IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Critically endangered
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/22697636/181151405
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According to the Ventana Wildlife Society there is a total population of 561 condors (344 wild, and 217 captive). Although numbers are much higher than some decades, such a small population makes the species highly vulnerable.